Daniel Jones: Trust or Bust

Daniel Jones NFC East
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Daniel Jones and His Supporting Cast

The New York Giants have put Daniel Jones in an excellent position to succeed in 2020. Despite being undervalued, I’m putting my trust in him this year. The young quarterback has playmakers all around him, including superstar running back Saquon Barkley. Jones is a dark-horse to finish as a QB1 in Fantasy Football. If Jones is going to reach that milestone, it’ll be because everyone’s healthy. All of Jones’ top targets will be available to start 2020, and the longer it stays that way, the higher the ceiling stays for this offense.

Jones’ supporting cast includes RB Saquon Barkley, WR Golden Tate, WR Darius Slayton, WR Sterling Shepard, and TE Evan Engram. All of these players had their fair share of flashes in the box score in 2019. Outside of Slayton, the remaining players averaged at least four-plus catches per game in 2019. Take out Barkley, the remaining players averaged at least 50 plus receiving yards per game; however, none played the full 16 game season.

Garbage Time = Positive ROI

The Giants’ defense may slow the run attack, but their secondary lacks playmakers and depth. They signed DB James Bradberry in the offseason and drafted FS Xavier McKinney in the second round of the draft. However, McKinney just fractured his foot and is going to be out for an indeterminable amount of time. The Giants also lost defensive starter LB David Mayo to a torn Meniscus, so it’s been a rough start for the defense. Jones and the offense will be in shootouts early and often to start 2020.

Potential Production

Last year, Daniel Jones recorded 3010 passing yards, 24 passing touchdowns, and 12 interceptions across 12 games. Jones’ completion rating was 61.9%. He averaged 250 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, and 1 interception per game. That pace would put him at 4000 passing yards, 32 touchdowns, and 16 interceptions across a full season. Those numbers would make him a top 12 quarterback in Fantasy and I expect him to progress from these averages this year.

The Giants will still lead with the run game, but Jones will get his fair share of stats. I expect the Giants to be playing from behind consistently in 2020, so there will be a ton of upside for the passing game all year.

Final Take

Daniel Jones is getting drafted as high as the 6th or 7th round in Super Flex leagues. He goes as late as the 13th or 14th in single quarterback leagues. Jones is someone you can get at a value in either format. His ADP is 104, and he’s my QB18. While I expect a prioritized rush attack, all the Giants’ passing options have upside and have shown they’re all viable threats. While it may be challenging to gauge which playmaker to draft first, it’s clear you need to Trust Jones, he’s going to be at the center of this high flying offense in 2020!

 

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