Eric Ebron is the Ultimate TE Boom or Bust
Since Heath Miller, the Pittsburgh offense has appeared… strained at times. Ben is pushing the ball out of the backfield and the receivers on the outside, so that’s normal. But up the middle… something is missing. Enter Eric Ebron, who has all of the tools to become the next great Steelers tight end and fill in that gap.
The biggest knock on Eric Ebron is his health. According to Sports Injury Predictor, he has an 84% chance of injury in 2020. Yikes, not good. To me, every player can get hurt at any time. But in terms of fantasy football, Ebron is a great candidate to take a flier on in the last three rounds of the draft. He’s a low risk / high reward player in terms of ADP.
Ebron Will be Welcome with Open Arms by Big Ben
I’m bullish on Ebron because Roethlisberger loves his TEs, he just has not had a legitimate receiver at TE since Miller. Now before everyone jumps me for not saying Vance McDonald is not a receiving threat, Ebron is just someone you have to account for when he’s on the field. Vance McDonald will have less work to do to get open if Ebron is on the field. Not the other way around.
Since 2012, the TE position has finished under the third-most targeted receiver only two times. Pittsburgh built their offense for a downhill rusher, two legitimate receivers on the outside, and a tight end in the middle, taking pressure off the receivers and the running back. Just look at the numbers (omit last year).
Eric Ebron chose to sign with the Steelers because of their offensive scheme. If he can stay healthy, there is no reason why he cannot be right up there with Gronkowski and Engram. In 2018, Ebron broke out with 66 receptions on 110 targets, 750 yards, and 13 touchdowns. He technically started only eight games in 2018, so he was the second tight end 50% of the time.
Ebron will feast with the offensive scheme in Pittsburgh. The mainstay at quarterback has a legitimate history of feed TEs the ball. Since 2012, TEs in Pittsburgh have averaged 78 targets. Ben is giving the TEs a steady diet of targets. Ebron has to show up to the stadium healthy. Please don’t jump on him early; his injury history justifies waiting for him to fall into your lap in the deep rounds. But if he does, expect lottery ticket return. There’s a high chance Ebron will get hurt, but you never know.